TOA PAINT (Thailand) Market Value

TOA-R Stock  THB 17.00  0.60  3.66%   
TOA PAINT's market value is the price at which a share of TOA PAINT trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TOA PAINT investors about its performance. TOA PAINT is trading at 17.00 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 3.66% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 16.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TOA PAINT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TOA PAINT over a given investment horizon. Check out TOA PAINT Correlation, TOA PAINT Volatility and TOA PAINT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TOA PAINT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between TOA PAINT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TOA PAINT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TOA PAINT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TOA PAINT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TOA PAINT's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TOA PAINT.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in TOA PAINT on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TOA PAINT or generate 0.0% return on investment in TOA PAINT over 30 days. TOA PAINT is related to or competes with NCL International, Erawan, Airports, Eastern Technical, Pylon Public, Asian Sea, and Gunkul Engineering. TOA Paint Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes paints and chemicals in T... More

TOA PAINT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TOA PAINT's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TOA PAINT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

TOA PAINT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TOA PAINT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TOA PAINT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TOA PAINT historical prices to predict the future TOA PAINT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9117.0022.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.3819.4724.56
Details

TOA PAINT Backtested Returns

TOA PAINT retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which indicates the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. TOA PAINT exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TOA PAINT's standard deviation of 4.91, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.19, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning TOA PAINT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, TOA PAINT is likely to outperform the market. At this point, TOA PAINT has a negative expected return of -0.6%. Please make sure to validate TOA PAINT's variance, accumulation distribution, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and day median price , to decide if TOA PAINT performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

TOA PAINT has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TOA PAINT time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TOA PAINT price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current TOA PAINT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance29.2

TOA PAINT lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is TOA PAINT stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TOA PAINT's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TOA PAINT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TOA PAINT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

TOA PAINT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TOA PAINT stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TOA PAINT stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TOA PAINT stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

TOA PAINT Lagged Returns

When evaluating TOA PAINT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TOA PAINT stock have on its future price. TOA PAINT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TOA PAINT autocorrelation shows the relationship between TOA PAINT stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TOA PAINT.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in TOA Stock

TOA PAINT financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOA with respect to the benefits of owning TOA PAINT security.