PT Sarana (Indonesia) Market Value
| TOWR Stock | IDR 705.00 15.00 2.08% |
| Symbol | TOWR |
PT Sarana 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PT Sarana's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PT Sarana.
| 10/27/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PT Sarana on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PT Sarana Menara or generate 0.0% return on investment in PT Sarana over 30 days. PT Sarana is related to or competes with Mnc Land, MNC Vision, and Medikaloka Hermina. More
PT Sarana Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PT Sarana's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PT Sarana Menara upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.17) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.09 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.52) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.75 |
PT Sarana Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PT Sarana's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PT Sarana's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PT Sarana historical prices to predict the future PT Sarana's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.43) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 20.86 |
PT Sarana Menara Backtested Returns
PT Sarana Menara retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which implies the firm had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. PT Sarana exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check PT Sarana's information ratio of (0.17), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 20.87 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0079, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PT Sarana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PT Sarana is likely to outperform the market. At this point, PT Sarana Menara has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to check PT Sarana's market risk adjusted performance, coefficient of variation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and standard deviation , to decide if PT Sarana Menara performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.
Auto-correlation | 0.29 |
Poor predictability
PT Sarana Menara has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PT Sarana time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PT Sarana Menara price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current PT Sarana price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.29 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.29 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 153.72 |
PT Sarana Menara lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PT Sarana stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PT Sarana's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PT Sarana returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PT Sarana has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PT Sarana regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PT Sarana stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PT Sarana stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PT Sarana stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PT Sarana Lagged Returns
When evaluating PT Sarana's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PT Sarana stock have on its future price. PT Sarana autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PT Sarana autocorrelation shows the relationship between PT Sarana stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PT Sarana Menara.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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PT Sarana financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOWR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOWR with respect to the benefits of owning PT Sarana security.