Triad Group (UK) Market Value

TRD Stock   320.00  5.00  1.54%   
Triad Group's market value is the price at which a share of Triad Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Triad Group PLC investors about its performance. Triad Group is trading at 320.00 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 1.54 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 320.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Triad Group PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Triad Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Triad Group Correlation, Triad Group Volatility and Triad Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Triad Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Triad Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triad Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triad Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Triad Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Triad Group's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Triad Group.
0.00
06/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Triad Group on June 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Triad Group PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Triad Group over 540 days. Triad Group is related to or competes with Capital Metals, Pets At, Fortune Brands, American Homes, GreenX Metals, Panther Metals, and Central Asia. Triad Group is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More

Triad Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Triad Group's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Triad Group PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Triad Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Triad Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Triad Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Triad Group historical prices to predict the future Triad Group's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
317.96320.00322.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
263.56265.60352.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
323.08325.13327.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
314.95319.77324.58
Details

Triad Group PLC Backtested Returns

Triad Group appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Triad Group PLC owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Triad Group PLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Triad Group's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0933, semi deviation of 1.05, and Coefficient Of Variation of 881.45 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Triad Group holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 1.02, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Triad Group returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Triad Group is expected to follow. Please check Triad Group's maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Triad Group's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.20  

Weak predictability

Triad Group PLC has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Triad Group time series from 4th of June 2023 to 29th of February 2024 and 29th of February 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Triad Group PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Triad Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.2
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance916.86

Triad Group PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Triad Group stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Triad Group's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Triad Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Triad Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Triad Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Triad Group stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Triad Group stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Triad Group stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Triad Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Triad Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Triad Group stock have on its future price. Triad Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Triad Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Triad Group stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Triad Group PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Triad Stock

Triad Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Triad Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Triad with respect to the benefits of owning Triad Group security.