Thrivent Small Cap Fund Market Value

TSCGX Fund  USD 19.76  0.10  0.51%   
Thrivent Small's market value is the price at which a share of Thrivent Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thrivent Small Cap investors about its performance. Thrivent Small is trading at 19.76 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.51 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.66.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thrivent Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thrivent Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Thrivent Small Correlation, Thrivent Small Volatility and Thrivent Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thrivent Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thrivent Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thrivent Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thrivent Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thrivent Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thrivent Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thrivent Small.
0.00
06/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thrivent Small on June 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thrivent Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thrivent Small over 540 days. Thrivent Small is related to or competes with American Century, Principal Lifetime, Delaware Limited-term, Davenport Small, T Rowe, and The Gabelli. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small compani... More

Thrivent Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thrivent Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thrivent Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thrivent Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thrivent Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thrivent Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thrivent Small historical prices to predict the future Thrivent Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.363.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7519.8821.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.6219.4220.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thrivent Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thrivent Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thrivent Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thrivent Small Cap.

Thrivent Small Cap Backtested Returns

Thrivent Small appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Thrivent Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which indicates the fund had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Thrivent Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Thrivent Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1374, semi deviation of 0.6845, and Coefficient Of Variation of 569.62 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.095, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Thrivent Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Thrivent Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Thrivent Small Cap has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thrivent Small time series from 9th of June 2023 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thrivent Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Thrivent Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.41

Thrivent Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thrivent Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thrivent Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thrivent Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thrivent Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thrivent Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thrivent Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thrivent Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thrivent Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thrivent Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thrivent Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thrivent Small mutual fund have on its future price. Thrivent Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thrivent Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thrivent Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thrivent Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thrivent Mutual Fund

Thrivent Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thrivent Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thrivent with respect to the benefits of owning Thrivent Small security.
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