Turkiye Sinai (Turkey) Market Value
TSKB Stock | TRY 12.50 0.09 0.71% |
Symbol | Turkiye |
Turkiye Sinai 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Turkiye Sinai's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Turkiye Sinai.
12/03/2023 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Turkiye Sinai on December 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma or generate 0.0% return on investment in Turkiye Sinai over 360 days. Turkiye Sinai is related to or competes with Yapi Ve, Turkiye Is, Akbank TAS, Turkiye Garanti, and Turkiye Vakiflar. Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Bankasi A.S. operates as development and investment bank in Turkey More
Turkiye Sinai Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Turkiye Sinai's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.91 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0076 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 9.62 | |||
Value At Risk | (2.75) | |||
Potential Upside | 4.07 |
Turkiye Sinai Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Turkiye Sinai's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Turkiye Sinai's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Turkiye Sinai historical prices to predict the future Turkiye Sinai's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0609 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.104 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.0082 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.5111 |
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma Backtested Returns
Currently, Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma is not too volatile. Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0715, which indicates the firm had a 0.0715% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Turkiye Sinai's Semi Deviation of 1.7, risk adjusted performance of 0.0609, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1398.43 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Turkiye Sinai has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.27, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Turkiye Sinai's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Turkiye Sinai is expected to be smaller as well. Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma right now has a risk of 2.04%. Please validate Turkiye Sinai sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to decide if Turkiye Sinai will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.05 |
Virtually no predictability
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Turkiye Sinai time series from 3rd of December 2023 to 31st of May 2024 and 31st of May 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Turkiye Sinai price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.05 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.08 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.34 |
Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Turkiye Sinai stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Turkiye Sinai's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Turkiye Sinai returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Turkiye Sinai has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Turkiye Sinai regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Turkiye Sinai stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Turkiye Sinai stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Turkiye Sinai stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Turkiye Sinai Lagged Returns
When evaluating Turkiye Sinai's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Turkiye Sinai stock have on its future price. Turkiye Sinai autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Turkiye Sinai autocorrelation shows the relationship between Turkiye Sinai stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Turkiye Sinai Kalkinma.
Regressed Prices |
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Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Turkiye Stock Analysis
When running Turkiye Sinai's price analysis, check to measure Turkiye Sinai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turkiye Sinai is operating at the current time. Most of Turkiye Sinai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turkiye Sinai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turkiye Sinai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turkiye Sinai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.