Tweedy Browne Value Fund Market Value

TWEBX Fund  USD 19.36  0.05  0.26%   
Tweedy Browne's market value is the price at which a share of Tweedy Browne trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tweedy Browne Value investors about its performance. Tweedy Browne is trading at 19.36 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.26 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tweedy Browne Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tweedy Browne over a given investment horizon. Check out Tweedy Browne Correlation, Tweedy Browne Volatility and Tweedy Browne Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tweedy Browne.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tweedy Browne's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tweedy Browne is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tweedy Browne's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tweedy Browne 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tweedy Browne's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tweedy Browne.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tweedy Browne on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tweedy Browne Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tweedy Browne over 720 days. Tweedy Browne is related to or competes with Dodge Cox, T Rowe, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, T Rowe, and Franklin Mutual. The fund invests primarily in U.S. and foreign equity securities that the Adviser believes are undervalued More

Tweedy Browne Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tweedy Browne's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tweedy Browne Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tweedy Browne Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tweedy Browne's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tweedy Browne's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tweedy Browne historical prices to predict the future Tweedy Browne's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7619.3619.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8119.4120.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8219.4220.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0519.4219.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tweedy Browne. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tweedy Browne's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tweedy Browne's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tweedy Browne Value.

Tweedy Browne Value Backtested Returns

Tweedy Browne Value owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0593, which indicates the fund had a -0.0593% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tweedy Browne Value exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tweedy Browne's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,276), variance of 0.3884, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.54, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tweedy Browne's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tweedy Browne is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

Tweedy Browne Value has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tweedy Browne time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tweedy Browne Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Tweedy Browne price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.27

Tweedy Browne Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tweedy Browne mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tweedy Browne's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tweedy Browne returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tweedy Browne has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tweedy Browne regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tweedy Browne mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tweedy Browne mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tweedy Browne mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tweedy Browne Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tweedy Browne's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tweedy Browne mutual fund have on its future price. Tweedy Browne autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tweedy Browne autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tweedy Browne mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tweedy Browne Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tweedy Mutual Fund

Tweedy Browne financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tweedy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tweedy with respect to the benefits of owning Tweedy Browne security.
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