UFO Moviez (India) Market Value

UFO Stock   99.22  1.05  1.07%   
UFO Moviez's market value is the price at which a share of UFO Moviez trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of UFO Moviez India investors about its performance. UFO Moviez is trading at 99.22 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 1.07 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 98.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of UFO Moviez India and determine expected loss or profit from investing in UFO Moviez over a given investment horizon. Check out UFO Moviez Correlation, UFO Moviez Volatility and UFO Moviez Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on UFO Moviez.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between UFO Moviez's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UFO Moviez is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UFO Moviez's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

UFO Moviez 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to UFO Moviez's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of UFO Moviez.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in UFO Moviez on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding UFO Moviez India or generate 0.0% return on investment in UFO Moviez over 30 days. UFO Moviez is related to or competes with HDFC Life, Procter Gamble, Byke Hospitality, Sakar Healthcare, SANOFI S, Rainbow Childrens, and Bajaj Healthcare. UFO Moviez is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

UFO Moviez Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure UFO Moviez's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess UFO Moviez India upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

UFO Moviez Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for UFO Moviez's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as UFO Moviez's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use UFO Moviez historical prices to predict the future UFO Moviez's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.08100.45102.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0474.41109.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.9194.2896.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.006.206.53
Details

UFO Moviez India Backtested Returns

UFO Moviez India owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.18, which indicates the firm had a -0.18% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. UFO Moviez India exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate UFO Moviez's variance of 5.44, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.58, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, UFO Moviez's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding UFO Moviez is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, UFO Moviez India has a negative expected return of -0.42%. Please make sure to validate UFO Moviez's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if UFO Moviez India performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.82  

Excellent reverse predictability

UFO Moviez India has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between UFO Moviez time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of UFO Moviez India price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current UFO Moviez price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.82
Spearman Rank Test-0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6.61

UFO Moviez India lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is UFO Moviez stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting UFO Moviez's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of UFO Moviez returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that UFO Moviez has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

UFO Moviez regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If UFO Moviez stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if UFO Moviez stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in UFO Moviez stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

UFO Moviez Lagged Returns

When evaluating UFO Moviez's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of UFO Moviez stock have on its future price. UFO Moviez autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, UFO Moviez autocorrelation shows the relationship between UFO Moviez stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in UFO Moviez India.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in UFO Stock

UFO Moviez financial ratios help investors to determine whether UFO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UFO with respect to the benefits of owning UFO Moviez security.