Proshares Ultra Gold Etf Market Value
| UGL Etf | USD 94.45 0.42 0.45% |
| Symbol | ProShares |
The market value of ProShares Ultra Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Ultra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Ultra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Ultra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Ultra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Ultra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Ultra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Ultra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
ProShares Ultra 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ProShares Ultra's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ProShares Ultra.
| 08/28/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ProShares Ultra on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ProShares Ultra Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in ProShares Ultra over 90 days. ProShares Ultra is related to or competes with ProShares UltraShort, ProShares Ultra, ProShares UltraShort, DB Gold, and DB Gold. The fund seeks to meet its investment objective by investing, under normal market conditions, in any one of, or combinat... More
ProShares Ultra Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ProShares Ultra's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ProShares Ultra Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.04 |
ProShares Ultra Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ProShares Ultra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ProShares Ultra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ProShares Ultra historical prices to predict the future ProShares Ultra's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0514 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1453 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.33) |
ProShares Ultra Gold Backtested Returns
As of now, ProShares Etf is very steady. ProShares Ultra Gold maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0629, which implies the entity had a 0.0629% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ProShares Ultra Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please check ProShares Ultra's Semi Deviation of 2.06, risk adjusted performance of 0.0514, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1687.17 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The etf holds a Beta of -0.32, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ProShares Ultra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ProShares Ultra is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.61 |
Very good reverse predictability
ProShares Ultra Gold has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ProShares Ultra time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ProShares Ultra Gold price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current ProShares Ultra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.51 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 21.99 |
ProShares Ultra Gold lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ProShares Ultra etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ProShares Ultra's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ProShares Ultra returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ProShares Ultra has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
ProShares Ultra regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ProShares Ultra etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ProShares Ultra etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ProShares Ultra etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
ProShares Ultra Lagged Returns
When evaluating ProShares Ultra's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ProShares Ultra etf have on its future price. ProShares Ultra autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ProShares Ultra autocorrelation shows the relationship between ProShares Ultra etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ProShares Ultra Gold.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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ProShares Ultra technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.