Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan Fund Market Value

UJPSX Fund  USD 39.52  0.72  1.86%   
Ultrajapan Profund's market value is the price at which a share of Ultrajapan Profund trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan investors about its performance. Ultrajapan Profund is trading at 39.52 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 1.86 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 38.8.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ultrajapan Profund over a given investment horizon. Check out Ultrajapan Profund Correlation, Ultrajapan Profund Volatility and Ultrajapan Profund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ultrajapan Profund.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ultrajapan Profund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ultrajapan Profund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ultrajapan Profund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ultrajapan Profund 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ultrajapan Profund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ultrajapan Profund.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ultrajapan Profund on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ultrajapan Profund over 30 days. Ultrajapan Profund is related to or competes with Short Real, Short Real, Ultrashort Mid-cap, Ultrashort Mid, Technology Ultrasector, Technology Ultrasector, and Large-cap Growth. The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns ... More

Ultrajapan Profund Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ultrajapan Profund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ultrajapan Profund Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ultrajapan Profund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ultrajapan Profund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ultrajapan Profund historical prices to predict the future Ultrajapan Profund's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ultrajapan Profund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.2639.5242.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.8236.0843.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.8537.1140.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.6039.2839.96
Details

Ultrajapan Profund Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Ultrajapan Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ultrajapan Profund owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0177, which indicates the fund had a 0.0177% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Ultrajapan Profund's Semi Deviation of 3.48, coefficient of variation of 4489.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0247 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0581%. The entity has a beta of 2.42, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ultrajapan Profund will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.14  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ultrajapan Profund time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ultrajapan Profund price movement. The serial correlation of -0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Ultrajapan Profund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.14
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.01

Ultrajapan Profund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ultrajapan Profund mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ultrajapan Profund's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ultrajapan Profund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ultrajapan Profund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ultrajapan Profund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ultrajapan Profund mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ultrajapan Profund mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ultrajapan Profund mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ultrajapan Profund Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ultrajapan Profund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ultrajapan Profund mutual fund have on its future price. Ultrajapan Profund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ultrajapan Profund autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ultrajapan Profund mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ultrajapan Profund Ultrajapan.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Ultrajapan Mutual Fund

Ultrajapan Profund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ultrajapan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ultrajapan with respect to the benefits of owning Ultrajapan Profund security.
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