Scout Mid Cap Fund Market Value

UMBMX Fund  USD 28.48  0.29  1.03%   
Scout Mid's market value is the price at which a share of Scout Mid trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Scout Mid Cap investors about its performance. Scout Mid is trading at 28.48 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 1.03 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Scout Mid Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Scout Mid over a given investment horizon. Check out Scout Mid Correlation, Scout Mid Volatility and Scout Mid Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Scout Mid.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Scout Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scout Mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scout Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Scout Mid 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Scout Mid's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Scout Mid.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Scout Mid on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Scout Mid Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Scout Mid over 30 days. Scout Mid is related to or competes with Ashmore Emerging, Black Oak, Rbc Bluebay, Transamerica Emerging, Investec Emerging, Origin Emerging, and Nasdaq 100. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets will be invested in mid cap equity securities More

Scout Mid Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Scout Mid's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Scout Mid Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Scout Mid Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Scout Mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Scout Mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Scout Mid historical prices to predict the future Scout Mid's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.6528.4829.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.6330.4531.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4828.3029.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.1128.3828.66
Details

Scout Mid Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Scout Mutual Fund to be very steady. Scout Mid Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.23, which indicates the fund had a 0.23% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Scout Mid Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Scout Mid's Coefficient Of Variation of 413.64, risk adjusted performance of 0.1862, and Semi Deviation of 0.4325 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. The entity has a beta of 0.98, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Scout Mid returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Scout Mid is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

Scout Mid Cap has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Scout Mid time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Scout Mid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Scout Mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

Scout Mid Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Scout Mid mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Scout Mid's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Scout Mid returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Scout Mid has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Scout Mid regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Scout Mid mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Scout Mid mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Scout Mid mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Scout Mid Lagged Returns

When evaluating Scout Mid's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Scout Mid mutual fund have on its future price. Scout Mid autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Scout Mid autocorrelation shows the relationship between Scout Mid mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Scout Mid Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Scout Mutual Fund

Scout Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scout Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scout with respect to the benefits of owning Scout Mid security.
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