AEP 345 15 MAY 51 Market Value

00108WAN0   65.92  2.32  3.40%   
00108WAN0's market value is the price at which a share of 00108WAN0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AEP 345 15 MAY 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AEP 345 15 MAY 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 00108WAN0 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 00108WAN0 Correlation, 00108WAN0 Volatility and 00108WAN0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 00108WAN0.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 00108WAN0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 00108WAN0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 00108WAN0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

00108WAN0 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 00108WAN0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 00108WAN0.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 00108WAN0 on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AEP 345 15 MAY 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 00108WAN0 over 720 days. 00108WAN0 is related to or competes with Alvotech, Analog Devices, Viemed Healthcare, Tandem Diabetes, BioNTech, Cardinal Health, and Western Digital. More

00108WAN0 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 00108WAN0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AEP 345 15 MAY 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

00108WAN0 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 00108WAN0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 00108WAN0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 00108WAN0 historical prices to predict the future 00108WAN0's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.8865.9266.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.9462.9872.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.5165.5666.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.8467.8469.84
Details

AEP 345 15 Backtested Returns

AEP 345 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AEP 345 15 MAY 51 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 00108WAN0's Mean Deviation of 0.7052, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 0.9801 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0535, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 00108WAN0's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 00108WAN0 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

AEP 345 15 MAY 51 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 00108WAN0 time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AEP 345 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current 00108WAN0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.31

AEP 345 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 00108WAN0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 00108WAN0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 00108WAN0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 00108WAN0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

00108WAN0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 00108WAN0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 00108WAN0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 00108WAN0 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

00108WAN0 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 00108WAN0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 00108WAN0 bond have on its future price. 00108WAN0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 00108WAN0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 00108WAN0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AEP 345 15 MAY 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 00108WAN0 Bond

00108WAN0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00108WAN0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00108WAN0 with respect to the benefits of owning 00108WAN0 security.