T 655 15 JAN 28 Market Value

00206RGN6   103.29  0.71  0.68%   
00206RGN6's market value is the price at which a share of 00206RGN6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of T 655 15 JAN 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of T 655 15 JAN 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 00206RGN6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 00206RGN6 Correlation, 00206RGN6 Volatility and 00206RGN6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 00206RGN6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 00206RGN6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 00206RGN6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 00206RGN6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

00206RGN6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 00206RGN6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 00206RGN6.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 00206RGN6 on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding T 655 15 JAN 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 00206RGN6 over 30 days. 00206RGN6 is related to or competes with Figs, Atmos Energy, Burlington Stores, Lakeland Industries, Empresa Distribuidora, and Citi Trends. More

00206RGN6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 00206RGN6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess T 655 15 JAN 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

00206RGN6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 00206RGN6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 00206RGN6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 00206RGN6 historical prices to predict the future 00206RGN6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.52103.29104.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.9093.67113.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.72103.50104.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.18104.37106.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 00206RGN6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 00206RGN6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 00206RGN6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 00206RGN6.

00206RGN6 Backtested Returns

At this point, 00206RGN6 is very steady. 00206RGN6 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0232, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0232% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for 00206RGN6, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 00206RGN6's information ratio of (0.13), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18) to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.018%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.17, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 00206RGN6's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 00206RGN6 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.33  

Poor reverse predictability

T 655 15 JAN 28 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 00206RGN6 time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 00206RGN6 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current 00206RGN6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.33

00206RGN6 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 00206RGN6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 00206RGN6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 00206RGN6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 00206RGN6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

00206RGN6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 00206RGN6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 00206RGN6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 00206RGN6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

00206RGN6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 00206RGN6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 00206RGN6 bond have on its future price. 00206RGN6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 00206RGN6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 00206RGN6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in T 655 15 JAN 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 00206RGN6 Bond

00206RGN6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00206RGN6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00206RGN6 with respect to the benefits of owning 00206RGN6 security.