ALB 505 01 JUN 32 Market Value

012653AE1   95.43  0.58  0.61%   
012653AE1's market value is the price at which a share of 012653AE1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ALB 505 01 JUN 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ALB 505 01 JUN 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 012653AE1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 012653AE1 Correlation, 012653AE1 Volatility and 012653AE1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 012653AE1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 012653AE1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 012653AE1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 012653AE1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

012653AE1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 012653AE1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 012653AE1.
0.00
01/18/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/17/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 012653AE1 on January 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ALB 505 01 JUN 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 012653AE1 over 30 days. 012653AE1 is related to or competes with Frontier Group, Ioneer, American Airlines, Delta Air, FlyExclusive,, and Singapore Airlines. More

012653AE1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 012653AE1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ALB 505 01 JUN 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

012653AE1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 012653AE1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 012653AE1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 012653AE1 historical prices to predict the future 012653AE1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.6295.4396.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.3296.1396.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.5794.3895.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.9095.4296.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 012653AE1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 012653AE1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 012653AE1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ALB 505 01.

ALB 505 01 Backtested Returns

ALB 505 01 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.029, which signifies that the bond had a -0.029 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 012653AE1 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 012653AE1's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15), information ratio of (0.05), and Variance of 0.6124 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.23, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 012653AE1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 012653AE1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

ALB 505 01 JUN 32 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 012653AE1 time series from 18th of January 2025 to 2nd of February 2025 and 2nd of February 2025 to 17th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ALB 505 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current 012653AE1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.26

ALB 505 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 012653AE1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 012653AE1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 012653AE1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 012653AE1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

012653AE1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 012653AE1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 012653AE1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 012653AE1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

012653AE1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 012653AE1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 012653AE1 bond have on its future price. 012653AE1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 012653AE1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 012653AE1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ALB 505 01 JUN 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 012653AE1 Bond

012653AE1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 012653AE1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 012653AE1 with respect to the benefits of owning 012653AE1 security.