ALL 69 15 MAY 38 Market Value

020002AJ0   117.75  2.62  2.28%   
020002AJ0's market value is the price at which a share of 020002AJ0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ALL 69 15 MAY 38 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ALL 69 15 MAY 38 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 020002AJ0 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 020002AJ0 Correlation, 020002AJ0 Volatility and 020002AJ0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 020002AJ0.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 020002AJ0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 020002AJ0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 020002AJ0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

020002AJ0 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 020002AJ0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 020002AJ0.
0.00
08/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 020002AJ0 on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ALL 69 15 MAY 38 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 020002AJ0 over 90 days. 020002AJ0 is related to or competes with Nasdaq, Nomura Holdings, Sun Country, Ihuman, Yuexiu Transport, Mesa Air, and Aldel Financial. More

020002AJ0 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 020002AJ0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ALL 69 15 MAY 38 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

020002AJ0 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 020002AJ0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 020002AJ0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 020002AJ0 historical prices to predict the future 020002AJ0's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.56117.75118.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.39110.58129.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.87114.06115.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.24114.04119.84
Details

ALL 69 15 Backtested Returns

ALL 69 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ALL 69 15 MAY 38 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 020002AJ0's Coefficient Of Variation of 6696.61, risk adjusted performance of 0.015, and Mean Deviation of 0.9005 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 020002AJ0's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 020002AJ0 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

ALL 69 15 MAY 38 has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 020002AJ0 time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ALL 69 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current 020002AJ0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.2

ALL 69 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 020002AJ0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 020002AJ0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 020002AJ0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 020002AJ0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

020002AJ0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 020002AJ0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 020002AJ0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 020002AJ0 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

020002AJ0 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 020002AJ0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 020002AJ0 bond have on its future price. 020002AJ0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 020002AJ0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 020002AJ0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ALL 69 15 MAY 38.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 020002AJ0 Bond

020002AJ0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 020002AJ0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 020002AJ0 with respect to the benefits of owning 020002AJ0 security.