ALPHABET INC Market Value

02079KAJ6   86.17  4.88  5.36%   
ALPHABET's market value is the price at which a share of ALPHABET trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ALPHABET INC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ALPHABET INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ALPHABET over a given investment horizon.
Check out ALPHABET Correlation, ALPHABET Volatility and ALPHABET Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ALPHABET.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ALPHABET's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ALPHABET is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ALPHABET's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ALPHABET 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ALPHABET's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ALPHABET.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ALPHABET on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ALPHABET INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in ALPHABET over 480 days. ALPHABET is related to or competes with Coca Cola, JPMorgan Chase, Dupont De, Alcoa Corp, Boeing, Microsoft, and Procter Gamble. More

ALPHABET Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ALPHABET's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ALPHABET INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ALPHABET Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ALPHABET's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ALPHABET's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ALPHABET historical prices to predict the future ALPHABET's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.6686.1786.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.5587.8788.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
83.5884.0984.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.1887.2489.30
Details

ALPHABET INC Backtested Returns

ALPHABET INC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.062, which signifies that the bond had a -0.062% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ALPHABET INC exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ALPHABET's mean deviation of 0.2268, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0702, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ALPHABET are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ALPHABET is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

ALPHABET INC has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ALPHABET time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ALPHABET INC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current ALPHABET price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.55

ALPHABET INC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ALPHABET bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ALPHABET's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ALPHABET returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ALPHABET has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ALPHABET regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ALPHABET bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ALPHABET bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ALPHABET bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ALPHABET Lagged Returns

When evaluating ALPHABET's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ALPHABET bond have on its future price. ALPHABET autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ALPHABET autocorrelation shows the relationship between ALPHABET bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ALPHABET INC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ALPHABET Bond

ALPHABET financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALPHABET Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALPHABET with respect to the benefits of owning ALPHABET security.