AMAZONCOM INC Market Value

023135BZ8   80.78  5.39  6.26%   
AMAZONCOM's market value is the price at which a share of AMAZONCOM trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMAZONCOM INC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMAZONCOM INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AMAZONCOM over a given investment horizon.
Check out AMAZONCOM Correlation, AMAZONCOM Volatility and AMAZONCOM Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AMAZONCOM.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AMAZONCOM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMAZONCOM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMAZONCOM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AMAZONCOM 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMAZONCOM's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMAZONCOM.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AMAZONCOM on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMAZONCOM INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMAZONCOM over 30 days. AMAZONCOM is related to or competes with Ecolab, Tandem Diabetes, LENSAR, Air Products, Alvotech, Sensient Technologies, and Avadel Pharmaceuticals. More

AMAZONCOM Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMAZONCOM's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMAZONCOM INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AMAZONCOM Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMAZONCOM's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMAZONCOM's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMAZONCOM historical prices to predict the future AMAZONCOM's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.9180.7881.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.7082.2083.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.2980.1681.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.7984.2088.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMAZONCOM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMAZONCOM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMAZONCOM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMAZONCOM INC.

AMAZONCOM INC Backtested Returns

AMAZONCOM INC retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AMAZONCOM exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AMAZONCOM's market risk adjusted performance of (0.85), and Variance of 2.77 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AMAZONCOM's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMAZONCOM is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

AMAZONCOM INC has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMAZONCOM time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMAZONCOM INC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current AMAZONCOM price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.92

AMAZONCOM INC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AMAZONCOM bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AMAZONCOM's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AMAZONCOM returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AMAZONCOM has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AMAZONCOM regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AMAZONCOM bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AMAZONCOM bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AMAZONCOM bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AMAZONCOM Lagged Returns

When evaluating AMAZONCOM's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AMAZONCOM bond have on its future price. AMAZONCOM autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AMAZONCOM autocorrelation shows the relationship between AMAZONCOM bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMAZONCOM INC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AMAZONCOM Bond

AMAZONCOM financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMAZONCOM Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMAZONCOM with respect to the benefits of owning AMAZONCOM security.