AMZN 46 01 DEC 25 Market Value

023135CN4   99.54  0.79  0.79%   
023135CN4's market value is the price at which a share of 023135CN4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMZN 46 01 DEC 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMZN 46 01 DEC 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 023135CN4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 023135CN4 Correlation, 023135CN4 Volatility and 023135CN4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 023135CN4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 023135CN4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 023135CN4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 023135CN4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

023135CN4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 023135CN4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 023135CN4.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 023135CN4 on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMZN 46 01 DEC 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 023135CN4 over 30 days. 023135CN4 is related to or competes with Codexis, Kaiser Aluminum, Chemours, Hudson Technologies, Insteel Industries, Olympic Steel, and Maanshan Iron. More

023135CN4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 023135CN4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMZN 46 01 DEC 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

023135CN4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 023135CN4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 023135CN4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 023135CN4 historical prices to predict the future 023135CN4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.3899.5499.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.6592.81109.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.8599.0199.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.57100.18100.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 023135CN4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 023135CN4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 023135CN4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMZN 46 01.

AMZN 46 01 Backtested Returns

AMZN 46 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0806, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0806% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. AMZN 46 01 DEC 25 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 023135CN4's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,604), mean deviation of 0.1188, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0082, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 023135CN4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 023135CN4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.05  

Virtually no predictability

AMZN 46 01 DEC 25 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 023135CN4 time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMZN 46 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current 023135CN4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.05
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

AMZN 46 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 023135CN4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 023135CN4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 023135CN4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 023135CN4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

023135CN4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 023135CN4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 023135CN4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 023135CN4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

023135CN4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 023135CN4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 023135CN4 bond have on its future price. 023135CN4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 023135CN4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 023135CN4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMZN 46 01 DEC 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 023135CN4 Bond

023135CN4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 023135CN4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 023135CN4 with respect to the benefits of owning 023135CN4 security.