AEE 385 01 SEP 32 Market Value

02361DAY6   89.04  3.42  3.70%   
02361DAY6's market value is the price at which a share of 02361DAY6 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AEE 385 01 SEP 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AEE 385 01 SEP 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 02361DAY6 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 02361DAY6 Correlation, 02361DAY6 Volatility and 02361DAY6 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 02361DAY6.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 02361DAY6's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 02361DAY6 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 02361DAY6's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

02361DAY6 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 02361DAY6's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 02361DAY6.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 02361DAY6 on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AEE 385 01 SEP 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 02361DAY6 over 30 days. 02361DAY6 is related to or competes with Willamette Valley, Nordic Semiconductor, National Beverage, Micron Technology, Vodka Brands, Diamond Estates, and Amkor Technology. More

02361DAY6 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 02361DAY6's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AEE 385 01 SEP 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

02361DAY6 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 02361DAY6's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 02361DAY6's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 02361DAY6 historical prices to predict the future 02361DAY6's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.1989.0489.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.5576.4097.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.4990.3491.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.3592.4194.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 02361DAY6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 02361DAY6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 02361DAY6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AEE 385 01.

AEE 385 01 Backtested Returns

AEE 385 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AEE 385 01 SEP 32 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 02361DAY6's Coefficient Of Variation of 1848.53, mean deviation of 0.6817, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0433 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 02361DAY6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 02361DAY6 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

AEE 385 01 SEP 32 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 02361DAY6 time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AEE 385 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current 02361DAY6 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.32

AEE 385 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 02361DAY6 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 02361DAY6's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 02361DAY6 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 02361DAY6 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

02361DAY6 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 02361DAY6 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 02361DAY6 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 02361DAY6 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

02361DAY6 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 02361DAY6's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 02361DAY6 bond have on its future price. 02361DAY6 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 02361DAY6 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 02361DAY6 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AEE 385 01 SEP 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 02361DAY6 Bond

02361DAY6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 02361DAY6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 02361DAY6 with respect to the benefits of owning 02361DAY6 security.