AMERICAN GEN P Market Value

026351AU0   109.92  8.06  7.91%   
AMERICAN's market value is the price at which a share of AMERICAN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMERICAN GEN P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMERICAN GEN P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AMERICAN over a given investment horizon.
Check out AMERICAN Correlation, AMERICAN Volatility and AMERICAN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AMERICAN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AMERICAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMERICAN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMERICAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AMERICAN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AMERICAN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AMERICAN.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AMERICAN on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMERICAN GEN P or generate 0.0% return on investment in AMERICAN over 30 days. AMERICAN is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Charles Schwab, Knightscope, Liberty Media, Marvell Technology, and GM. More

AMERICAN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AMERICAN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMERICAN GEN P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AMERICAN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AMERICAN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AMERICAN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AMERICAN historical prices to predict the future AMERICAN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.47109.92111.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.78102.23120.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.85109.29110.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.60102.58106.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMERICAN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMERICAN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMERICAN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMERICAN GEN P.

AMERICAN GEN P Backtested Returns

AMERICAN appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. AMERICAN GEN P secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the bond had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for AMERICAN GEN P, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of AMERICAN's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.087, mean deviation of 0.5809, and Downside Deviation of 0.6728 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AMERICAN's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AMERICAN is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

AMERICAN GEN P has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AMERICAN time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMERICAN GEN P price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current AMERICAN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

AMERICAN GEN P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AMERICAN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AMERICAN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AMERICAN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AMERICAN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AMERICAN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AMERICAN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AMERICAN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AMERICAN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AMERICAN Lagged Returns

When evaluating AMERICAN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AMERICAN bond have on its future price. AMERICAN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AMERICAN autocorrelation shows the relationship between AMERICAN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMERICAN GEN P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AMERICAN Bond

AMERICAN financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMERICAN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMERICAN with respect to the benefits of owning AMERICAN security.