FE 265 15 JAN 32 Market Value

030288AC8   80.58  4.84  5.67%   
030288AC8's market value is the price at which a share of 030288AC8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of FE 265 15 JAN 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of FE 265 15 JAN 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 030288AC8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 030288AC8 Correlation, 030288AC8 Volatility and 030288AC8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 030288AC8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 030288AC8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 030288AC8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 030288AC8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

030288AC8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 030288AC8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 030288AC8.
0.00
02/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 28 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 030288AC8 on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FE 265 15 JAN 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 030288AC8 over 270 days. 030288AC8 is related to or competes with Getty Realty, Kite Realty, Gap,, Simon Property, Monster Beverage, BBB Foods, and Compania Cervecerias. More

030288AC8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 030288AC8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FE 265 15 JAN 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

030288AC8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 030288AC8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 030288AC8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 030288AC8 historical prices to predict the future 030288AC8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.6280.5881.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.5281.8782.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.4378.3879.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.7580.8886.01
Details

FE 265 15 Backtested Returns

FE 265 15 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.22, which signifies that the bond had a -0.22% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 030288AC8 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 030288AC8's Standard Deviation of 1.61, market risk adjusted performance of (0.86), and Information Ratio of (0.14) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 030288AC8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 030288AC8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

FE 265 15 JAN 32 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 030288AC8 time series from 29th of February 2024 to 13th of July 2024 and 13th of July 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FE 265 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current 030288AC8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.65

FE 265 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 030288AC8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 030288AC8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 030288AC8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 030288AC8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

030288AC8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 030288AC8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 030288AC8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 030288AC8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

030288AC8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 030288AC8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 030288AC8 bond have on its future price. 030288AC8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 030288AC8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 030288AC8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FE 265 15 JAN 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 030288AC8 Bond

030288AC8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 030288AC8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 030288AC8 with respect to the benefits of owning 030288AC8 security.