AMGN 335 22 FEB 32 Market Value

031162DE7   88.28  1.56  1.74%   
031162DE7's market value is the price at which a share of 031162DE7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AMGN 335 22 FEB 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AMGN 335 22 FEB 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 031162DE7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 031162DE7 Correlation, 031162DE7 Volatility and 031162DE7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 031162DE7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 031162DE7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 031162DE7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 031162DE7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

031162DE7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 031162DE7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 031162DE7.
0.00
03/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 28 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 031162DE7 on March 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMGN 335 22 FEB 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 031162DE7 over 270 days. 031162DE7 is related to or competes with Playtika Holding, Inflection Point, Citizens Bancorp, Morgan Stanley, Independence Realty, and SEI Investments. More

031162DE7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 031162DE7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMGN 335 22 FEB 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

031162DE7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 031162DE7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 031162DE7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 031162DE7 historical prices to predict the future 031162DE7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.7888.2888.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.9385.4397.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.5887.0887.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.0188.8691.72
Details

AMGN 335 22 Backtested Returns

AMGN 335 22 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AMGN 335 22 FEB 32 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 031162DE7's Mean Deviation of 0.4616, variance of 0.7299, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 031162DE7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 031162DE7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.7  

Very good reverse predictability

AMGN 335 22 FEB 32 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 031162DE7 time series from 5th of March 2024 to 18th of July 2024 and 18th of July 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMGN 335 22 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current 031162DE7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.7
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.87

AMGN 335 22 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 031162DE7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 031162DE7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 031162DE7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 031162DE7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

031162DE7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 031162DE7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 031162DE7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 031162DE7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

031162DE7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 031162DE7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 031162DE7 bond have on its future price. 031162DE7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 031162DE7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 031162DE7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMGN 335 22 FEB 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 031162DE7 Bond

031162DE7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 031162DE7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 031162DE7 with respect to the benefits of owning 031162DE7 security.