AMGN 515 02 MAR 28 Market Value
| 031162DP2 | 99.12 2.17 2.14% |
| Symbol | 031162DP2 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 031162DP2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 031162DP2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 031162DP2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
031162DP2 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 031162DP2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 031162DP2.
| 03/05/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 031162DP2 on March 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AMGN 515 02 MAR 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 031162DP2 over 270 days. 031162DP2 is related to or competes with National Beverage, Ambev SA, SkyWest, Boston Beer, American Airlines, Thai Beverage, and Tenaris SA. More
031162DP2 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 031162DP2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AMGN 515 02 MAR 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.49) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.45) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2913 |
031162DP2 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 031162DP2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 031162DP2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 031162DP2 historical prices to predict the future 031162DP2's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (5.85) |
AMGN 515 02 Backtested Returns
AMGN 515 02 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. AMGN 515 02 MAR 28 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 031162DP2's Variance of 0.1445, risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Mean Deviation of 0.2123 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.01, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 031162DP2's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 031162DP2 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.6 |
Good reverse predictability
AMGN 515 02 MAR 28 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 031162DP2 time series from 5th of March 2024 to 18th of July 2024 and 18th of July 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AMGN 515 02 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current 031162DP2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.6 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.61 |
AMGN 515 02 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 031162DP2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 031162DP2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 031162DP2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 031162DP2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
031162DP2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 031162DP2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 031162DP2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 031162DP2 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
031162DP2 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 031162DP2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 031162DP2 bond have on its future price. 031162DP2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 031162DP2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 031162DP2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AMGN 515 02 MAR 28.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 031162DP2 Bond
031162DP2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 031162DP2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 031162DP2 with respect to the benefits of owning 031162DP2 security.