ATH 173 02 OCT 26 Market Value

04685A3D1   93.49  0.00  0.00%   
04685A3D1's market value is the price at which a share of 04685A3D1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ATH 173 02 OCT 26 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ATH 173 02 OCT 26 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 04685A3D1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 04685A3D1 Correlation, 04685A3D1 Volatility and 04685A3D1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 04685A3D1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 04685A3D1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 04685A3D1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 04685A3D1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

04685A3D1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 04685A3D1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 04685A3D1.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 04685A3D1 on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ATH 173 02 OCT 26 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 04685A3D1 over 720 days. 04685A3D1 is related to or competes with Diageo PLC, National CineMedia, Keurig Dr, Ambev SA, Monster Beverage, WiMi Hologram, and Constellation Brands. More

04685A3D1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 04685A3D1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ATH 173 02 OCT 26 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

04685A3D1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 04685A3D1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 04685A3D1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 04685A3D1 historical prices to predict the future 04685A3D1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.3093.4993.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.4791.66102.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.5490.7290.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.8694.1097.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 04685A3D1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 04685A3D1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 04685A3D1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ATH 173 02.

ATH 173 02 Backtested Returns

ATH 173 02 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.091, which signifies that the bond had a -0.091% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ATH 173 02 OCT 26 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 04685A3D1's Variance of 0.0344, mean deviation of 0.1155, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0393, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 04685A3D1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 04685A3D1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.48  

Average predictability

ATH 173 02 OCT 26 has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 04685A3D1 time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ATH 173 02 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current 04685A3D1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.48
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.21

ATH 173 02 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 04685A3D1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 04685A3D1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 04685A3D1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 04685A3D1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

04685A3D1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 04685A3D1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 04685A3D1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 04685A3D1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

04685A3D1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 04685A3D1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 04685A3D1 bond have on its future price. 04685A3D1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 04685A3D1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 04685A3D1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ATH 173 02 OCT 26.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 04685A3D1 Bond

04685A3D1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 04685A3D1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 04685A3D1 with respect to the benefits of owning 04685A3D1 security.