AUTOZONE INC Market Value

053332AZ5   96.58  0.40  0.42%   
AUTOZONE's market value is the price at which a share of AUTOZONE trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AUTOZONE INC investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AUTOZONE INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AUTOZONE over a given investment horizon.
Check out AUTOZONE Correlation, AUTOZONE Volatility and AUTOZONE Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AUTOZONE.
For information on how to trade AUTOZONE Bond refer to our How to Trade AUTOZONE Bond guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AUTOZONE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AUTOZONE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AUTOZONE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AUTOZONE 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AUTOZONE's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AUTOZONE.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AUTOZONE on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AUTOZONE INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in AUTOZONE over 180 days. AUTOZONE is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Bank of America, GE Aerospace, Dupont De, International Business, and McDonalds. More

AUTOZONE Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AUTOZONE's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AUTOZONE INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AUTOZONE Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AUTOZONE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AUTOZONE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AUTOZONE historical prices to predict the future AUTOZONE's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.9496.5897.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.2482.88106.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.4896.1296.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.3894.1397.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AUTOZONE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AUTOZONE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AUTOZONE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AUTOZONE INC.

AUTOZONE INC Backtested Returns

AUTOZONE INC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AUTOZONE INC exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AUTOZONE's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 0.6163 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AUTOZONE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AUTOZONE is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.8  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

AUTOZONE INC has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AUTOZONE time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AUTOZONE INC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current AUTOZONE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.8
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.67

AUTOZONE INC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AUTOZONE bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AUTOZONE's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AUTOZONE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AUTOZONE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AUTOZONE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AUTOZONE bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AUTOZONE bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AUTOZONE bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AUTOZONE Lagged Returns

When evaluating AUTOZONE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AUTOZONE bond have on its future price. AUTOZONE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AUTOZONE autocorrelation shows the relationship between AUTOZONE bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AUTOZONE INC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AUTOZONE Bond

AUTOZONE financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUTOZONE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUTOZONE with respect to the benefits of owning AUTOZONE security.