BPCEGP 45 15 MAR 25 Market Value

05578QAD5   98.46  1.21  1.21%   
BPCEGP's market value is the price at which a share of BPCEGP trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BPCEGP 45 15 MAR 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BPCEGP 45 15 MAR 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BPCEGP over a given investment horizon.
Check out BPCEGP Correlation, BPCEGP Volatility and BPCEGP Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BPCEGP.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between BPCEGP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BPCEGP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BPCEGP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BPCEGP 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BPCEGP's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BPCEGP.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in BPCEGP on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BPCEGP 45 15 MAR 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in BPCEGP over 30 days. BPCEGP is related to or competes with Alaska Air, SBM Offshore, Qualys, Jutal Offshore, Bill, and Ryanair Holdings. More

BPCEGP Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BPCEGP's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BPCEGP 45 15 MAR 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

BPCEGP Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BPCEGP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BPCEGP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BPCEGP historical prices to predict the future BPCEGP's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.1698.4698.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.5097.80108.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.6397.9398.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.6099.38100.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BPCEGP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BPCEGP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BPCEGP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BPCEGP 45 15.

BPCEGP 45 15 Backtested Returns

BPCEGP 45 15 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BPCEGP exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BPCEGP's variance of 0.0928, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.80) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0631, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, BPCEGP's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BPCEGP is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.78  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

BPCEGP 45 15 MAR 25 has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BPCEGP time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BPCEGP 45 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current BPCEGP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.78
Spearman Rank Test-0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.29

BPCEGP 45 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is BPCEGP bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BPCEGP's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BPCEGP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BPCEGP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

BPCEGP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BPCEGP bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BPCEGP bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BPCEGP bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

BPCEGP Lagged Returns

When evaluating BPCEGP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BPCEGP bond have on its future price. BPCEGP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BPCEGP autocorrelation shows the relationship between BPCEGP bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BPCEGP 45 15 MAR 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in BPCEGP Bond

BPCEGP financial ratios help investors to determine whether BPCEGP Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BPCEGP with respect to the benefits of owning BPCEGP security.