BMO 5203 01 FEB 28 Market Value

06368LGV2   100.37  0.71  0.70%   
06368LGV2's market value is the price at which a share of 06368LGV2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BMO 5203 01 FEB 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BMO 5203 01 FEB 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 06368LGV2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 06368LGV2 Correlation, 06368LGV2 Volatility and 06368LGV2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 06368LGV2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 06368LGV2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 06368LGV2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 06368LGV2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

06368LGV2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 06368LGV2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 06368LGV2.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 06368LGV2 on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BMO 5203 01 FEB 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 06368LGV2 over 720 days. 06368LGV2 is related to or competes with Origin Materials, Sensient Technologies, Mosaic, Braskem SA, and Sealed Air. More

06368LGV2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 06368LGV2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BMO 5203 01 FEB 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

06368LGV2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 06368LGV2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 06368LGV2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 06368LGV2 historical prices to predict the future 06368LGV2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.17100.37100.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.9296.12110.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.7599.95100.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.94100.61101.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 06368LGV2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 06368LGV2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 06368LGV2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BMO 5203 01.

BMO 5203 01 Backtested Returns

BMO 5203 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. BMO 5203 01 FEB 28 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 06368LGV2's Mean Deviation of 0.1529, variance of 0.047, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.026, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 06368LGV2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 06368LGV2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.33  

Poor reverse predictability

BMO 5203 01 FEB 28 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 06368LGV2 time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BMO 5203 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current 06368LGV2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.07

BMO 5203 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 06368LGV2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 06368LGV2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 06368LGV2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 06368LGV2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

06368LGV2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 06368LGV2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 06368LGV2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 06368LGV2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

06368LGV2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 06368LGV2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 06368LGV2 bond have on its future price. 06368LGV2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 06368LGV2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 06368LGV2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BMO 5203 01 FEB 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 06368LGV2 Bond

06368LGV2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 06368LGV2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 06368LGV2 with respect to the benefits of owning 06368LGV2 security.