BK 375 Market Value

064058AL4   77.52  18.27  19.07%   
064058AL4's market value is the price at which a share of 064058AL4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BK 375 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BK 375 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 064058AL4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 064058AL4 Correlation, 064058AL4 Volatility and 064058AL4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 064058AL4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 064058AL4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 064058AL4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 064058AL4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

064058AL4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 064058AL4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 064058AL4.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 064058AL4 on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BK 375 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 064058AL4 over 30 days. 064058AL4 is related to or competes with Citizens Bancorp, Nomura Holdings, Ardelyx, Valneva SE, Tscan Therapeutics, and Equinix. More

064058AL4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 064058AL4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BK 375 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

064058AL4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 064058AL4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 064058AL4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 064058AL4 historical prices to predict the future 064058AL4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.9577.5280.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.6569.2285.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.0879.6582.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.4285.9396.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 064058AL4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 064058AL4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 064058AL4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 064058AL4.

064058AL4 Backtested Returns

064058AL4 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 064058AL4 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 064058AL4's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.16), variance of 8.86, and Information Ratio of (0.13) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 064058AL4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 064058AL4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

BK 375 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 064058AL4 time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 064058AL4 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current 064058AL4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance29.31

064058AL4 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 064058AL4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 064058AL4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 064058AL4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 064058AL4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

064058AL4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 064058AL4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 064058AL4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 064058AL4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

064058AL4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 064058AL4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 064058AL4 bond have on its future price. 064058AL4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 064058AL4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 064058AL4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BK 375.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 064058AL4 Bond

064058AL4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 064058AL4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 064058AL4 with respect to the benefits of owning 064058AL4 security.