BNS 525 06 DEC 24 Market Value

06417XAL5   100.04  0.07  0.07%   
06417XAL5's market value is the price at which a share of 06417XAL5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BNS 525 06 DEC 24 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BNS 525 06 DEC 24 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 06417XAL5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 06417XAL5 Correlation, 06417XAL5 Volatility and 06417XAL5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 06417XAL5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 06417XAL5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 06417XAL5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 06417XAL5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

06417XAL5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 06417XAL5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 06417XAL5.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 06417XAL5 on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BNS 525 06 DEC 24 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 06417XAL5 over 30 days. 06417XAL5 is related to or competes with Yuexiu Transport, Capital Clean, East Africa, Air Lease, Agnico Eagle, and Cebu Air. More

06417XAL5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 06417XAL5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BNS 525 06 DEC 24 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

06417XAL5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 06417XAL5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 06417XAL5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 06417XAL5 historical prices to predict the future 06417XAL5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.94100.04100.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.9895.08110.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.8599.95100.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.2999.81100.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 06417XAL5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 06417XAL5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 06417XAL5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BNS 525 06.

BNS 525 06 Backtested Returns

BNS 525 06 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0101, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0101% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BNS 525 06 DEC 24 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 06417XAL5's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), downside deviation of 0.2513, and Mean Deviation of 0.1455 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0199, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 06417XAL5's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 06417XAL5 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

BNS 525 06 DEC 24 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 06417XAL5 time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BNS 525 06 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current 06417XAL5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

BNS 525 06 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 06417XAL5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 06417XAL5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 06417XAL5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 06417XAL5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

06417XAL5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 06417XAL5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 06417XAL5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 06417XAL5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

06417XAL5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 06417XAL5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 06417XAL5 bond have on its future price. 06417XAL5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 06417XAL5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 06417XAL5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BNS 525 06 DEC 24.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 06417XAL5 Bond

06417XAL5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 06417XAL5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 06417XAL5 with respect to the benefits of owning 06417XAL5 security.