BNS 2951 11 MAR 27 Market Value

06418BAE8   93.24  3.20  3.32%   
06418BAE8's market value is the price at which a share of 06418BAE8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BNS 2951 11 MAR 27 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BNS 2951 11 MAR 27 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 06418BAE8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 06418BAE8 Correlation, 06418BAE8 Volatility and 06418BAE8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 06418BAE8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 06418BAE8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 06418BAE8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 06418BAE8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

06418BAE8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 06418BAE8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 06418BAE8.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 06418BAE8 on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BNS 2951 11 MAR 27 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 06418BAE8 over 30 days. 06418BAE8 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, PayPal Holdings, IONQ, Nasdaq, Vertiv Holdings, and Microsoft. More

06418BAE8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 06418BAE8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BNS 2951 11 MAR 27 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

06418BAE8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 06418BAE8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 06418BAE8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 06418BAE8 historical prices to predict the future 06418BAE8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.7993.2493.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.9294.1794.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.0091.4591.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.6593.1993.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 06418BAE8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 06418BAE8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 06418BAE8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BNS 2951 11.

BNS 2951 11 Backtested Returns

BNS 2951 11 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BNS 2951 11 MAR 27 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 06418BAE8's Mean Deviation of 0.1953, standard deviation of 0.4097, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0264, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 06418BAE8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 06418BAE8 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

BNS 2951 11 MAR 27 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 06418BAE8 time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BNS 2951 11 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current 06418BAE8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

BNS 2951 11 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 06418BAE8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 06418BAE8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 06418BAE8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 06418BAE8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

06418BAE8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 06418BAE8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 06418BAE8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 06418BAE8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

06418BAE8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 06418BAE8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 06418BAE8 bond have on its future price. 06418BAE8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 06418BAE8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 06418BAE8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BNS 2951 11 MAR 27.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 06418BAE8 Bond

06418BAE8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 06418BAE8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 06418BAE8 with respect to the benefits of owning 06418BAE8 security.