BAX 395 01 APR 30 Market Value

071813BY4   91.98  3.58  3.75%   
071813BY4's market value is the price at which a share of 071813BY4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BAX 395 01 APR 30 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BAX 395 01 APR 30 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 071813BY4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 071813BY4 Correlation, 071813BY4 Volatility and 071813BY4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 071813BY4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 071813BY4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 071813BY4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 071813BY4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

071813BY4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 071813BY4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 071813BY4.
0.00
06/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 071813BY4 on June 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BAX 395 01 APR 30 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 071813BY4 over 180 days. 071813BY4 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, MetLife, Brera Holdings, Jackson Financial, Fortinet, and Walmart. More

071813BY4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 071813BY4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BAX 395 01 APR 30 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

071813BY4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 071813BY4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 071813BY4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 071813BY4 historical prices to predict the future 071813BY4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.3491.9892.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.7893.0693.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.1391.7792.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.3194.2897.25
Details

071813BY4 Backtested Returns

071813BY4 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BAX 395 01 APR 30 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 071813BY4's mean deviation of 0.5305, and Variance of 1.06 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 071813BY4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 071813BY4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.9  

Excellent reverse predictability

BAX 395 01 APR 30 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 071813BY4 time series from 5th of June 2024 to 3rd of September 2024 and 3rd of September 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 071813BY4 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current 071813BY4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.9
Spearman Rank Test-0.9
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.91

071813BY4 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 071813BY4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 071813BY4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 071813BY4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 071813BY4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

071813BY4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 071813BY4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 071813BY4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 071813BY4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

071813BY4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 071813BY4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 071813BY4 bond have on its future price. 071813BY4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 071813BY4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 071813BY4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BAX 395 01 APR 30.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 071813BY4 Bond

071813BY4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 071813BY4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 071813BY4 with respect to the benefits of owning 071813BY4 security.