BCECN 365 17 MAR 51 Market Value

0778FPAF6   67.08  0.00  0.00%   
BCECN's market value is the price at which a share of BCECN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BCECN 365 17 MAR 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BCECN 365 17 MAR 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BCECN over a given investment horizon.
Check out BCECN Correlation, BCECN Volatility and BCECN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BCECN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between BCECN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BCECN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BCECN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BCECN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BCECN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BCECN.
0.00
06/20/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in BCECN on June 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BCECN 365 17 MAR 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in BCECN over 540 days. BCECN is related to or competes with Thor Industries, Cars, Marine Products, Celsius Holdings, National Beverage, WT Offshore, and Dana. More

BCECN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BCECN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BCECN 365 17 MAR 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

BCECN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BCECN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BCECN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BCECN historical prices to predict the future BCECN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.3267.0869.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.9958.7573.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.8767.6370.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.3072.9177.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BCECN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BCECN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BCECN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BCECN 365 17.

BCECN 365 17 Backtested Returns

BCECN 365 17 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0104, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0104% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BCECN 365 17 MAR 51 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BCECN's variance of 3.44, and Mean Deviation of 1.15 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, BCECN's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BCECN is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

BCECN 365 17 MAR 51 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BCECN time series from 20th of June 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BCECN 365 17 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current BCECN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.4

BCECN 365 17 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is BCECN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BCECN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BCECN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BCECN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

BCECN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BCECN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BCECN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BCECN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

BCECN Lagged Returns

When evaluating BCECN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BCECN bond have on its future price. BCECN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BCECN autocorrelation shows the relationship between BCECN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BCECN 365 17 MAR 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in BCECN Bond

BCECN financial ratios help investors to determine whether BCECN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BCECN with respect to the benefits of owning BCECN security.