BLACK HILLS P Market Value

092113AM1   96.71  0.03  0.03%   
BLACK's market value is the price at which a share of BLACK trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BLACK HILLS P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BLACK HILLS P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BLACK over a given investment horizon.
Check out BLACK Correlation, BLACK Volatility and BLACK Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BLACK.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between BLACK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BLACK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BLACK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BLACK 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BLACK's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BLACK.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in BLACK on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BLACK HILLS P or generate 0.0% return on investment in BLACK over 30 days. BLACK is related to or competes with Perseus Mining, NH Foods, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, Marfrig Global, Western Acquisition, LENSAR, and Village Super. More

BLACK Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BLACK's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BLACK HILLS P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

BLACK Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BLACK's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BLACK's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BLACK historical prices to predict the future BLACK's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.2196.7197.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.4395.93106.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BLACK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BLACK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BLACK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BLACK HILLS P.

BLACK HILLS P Backtested Returns

BLACK HILLS P retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BLACK exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BLACK's variance of 0.8466, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.8177 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0458, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning BLACK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, BLACK is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

BLACK HILLS P has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BLACK time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BLACK HILLS P price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current BLACK price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

BLACK HILLS P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is BLACK bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BLACK's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BLACK returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BLACK has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

BLACK regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BLACK bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BLACK bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BLACK bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

BLACK Lagged Returns

When evaluating BLACK's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BLACK bond have on its future price. BLACK autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BLACK autocorrelation shows the relationship between BLACK bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BLACK HILLS P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in BLACK Bond

BLACK financial ratios help investors to determine whether BLACK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BLACK with respect to the benefits of owning BLACK security.