CSL 22 01 MAR 32 Market Value

142339AL4   80.74  0.00  0.00%   
142339AL4's market value is the price at which a share of 142339AL4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CSL 22 01 MAR 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CSL 22 01 MAR 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 142339AL4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 142339AL4 Correlation, 142339AL4 Volatility and 142339AL4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 142339AL4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 142339AL4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 142339AL4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 142339AL4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

142339AL4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 142339AL4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 142339AL4.
0.00
06/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 142339AL4 on June 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CSL 22 01 MAR 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 142339AL4 over 180 days. 142339AL4 is related to or competes with Wendys, Sapiens International, Cadence Design, NetSol Technologies, CDW Corp, Pinterest, and Getty Images. More

142339AL4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 142339AL4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CSL 22 01 MAR 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

142339AL4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 142339AL4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 142339AL4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 142339AL4 historical prices to predict the future 142339AL4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.0880.7481.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.6781.4882.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
78.2878.9479.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.3582.3285.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 142339AL4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 142339AL4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 142339AL4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CSL 22 01.

CSL 22 01 Backtested Returns

CSL 22 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which signifies that the bond had a -0.1% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. CSL 22 01 MAR 32 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 142339AL4's Variance of 0.9825, mean deviation of 0.5441, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0197, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 142339AL4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 142339AL4 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.84  

Excellent reverse predictability

CSL 22 01 MAR 32 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 142339AL4 time series from 5th of June 2024 to 3rd of September 2024 and 3rd of September 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CSL 22 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current 142339AL4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.84
Spearman Rank Test-0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.77

CSL 22 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 142339AL4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 142339AL4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 142339AL4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 142339AL4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

142339AL4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 142339AL4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 142339AL4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 142339AL4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

142339AL4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 142339AL4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 142339AL4 bond have on its future price. 142339AL4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 142339AL4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 142339AL4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CSL 22 01 MAR 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 142339AL4 Bond

142339AL4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 142339AL4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 142339AL4 with respect to the benefits of owning 142339AL4 security.