CREDIT SUISSE AG Market Value

22550L2C4   99.40  0.02  0.02%   
CREDIT's market value is the price at which a share of CREDIT trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CREDIT SUISSE AG investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CREDIT SUISSE AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CREDIT over a given investment horizon.
Check out CREDIT Correlation, CREDIT Volatility and CREDIT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CREDIT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CREDIT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CREDIT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CREDIT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CREDIT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CREDIT's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CREDIT.
0.00
06/10/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CREDIT on June 10, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CREDIT SUISSE AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in CREDIT over 540 days. CREDIT is related to or competes with Apogee Therapeutics,, Ardelyx, Beyond Meat, BioNTech, Marfrig Global, and Sellas Life. More

CREDIT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CREDIT's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CREDIT SUISSE AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CREDIT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CREDIT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CREDIT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CREDIT historical prices to predict the future CREDIT's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.3399.4099.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.2883.35109.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.2999.3699.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.2199.3299.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CREDIT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CREDIT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CREDIT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CREDIT SUISSE AG.

CREDIT SUISSE AG Backtested Returns

At this point, CREDIT is very steady. CREDIT SUISSE AG secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the bond had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for CREDIT SUISSE AG, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm CREDIT's Mean Deviation of 0.0639, risk adjusted performance of 0.0426, and Coefficient Of Variation of 608.41 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0108%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0114, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CREDIT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CREDIT is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.21  

Weak predictability

CREDIT SUISSE AG has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CREDIT time series from 10th of June 2023 to 6th of March 2024 and 6th of March 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CREDIT SUISSE AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current CREDIT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.21
Spearman Rank Test0.91
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.45

CREDIT SUISSE AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CREDIT bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CREDIT's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CREDIT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CREDIT has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CREDIT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CREDIT bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CREDIT bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CREDIT bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CREDIT Lagged Returns

When evaluating CREDIT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CREDIT bond have on its future price. CREDIT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CREDIT autocorrelation shows the relationship between CREDIT bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CREDIT SUISSE AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CREDIT Bond

CREDIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether CREDIT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CREDIT with respect to the benefits of owning CREDIT security.