CUMMINS INC 4875 Market Value

231021AQ9   100.81  4.77  4.97%   
CUMMINS's market value is the price at which a share of CUMMINS trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CUMMINS INC 4875 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CUMMINS INC 4875 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CUMMINS over a given investment horizon.
Check out CUMMINS Correlation, CUMMINS Volatility and CUMMINS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CUMMINS.
For information on how to trade CUMMINS Bond refer to our How to Trade CUMMINS Bond guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CUMMINS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CUMMINS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CUMMINS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CUMMINS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CUMMINS's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CUMMINS.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CUMMINS on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CUMMINS INC 4875 or generate 0.0% return on investment in CUMMINS over 90 days. CUMMINS is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Bank of America, GE Aerospace, Dupont De, International Business, and McDonalds. More

CUMMINS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CUMMINS's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CUMMINS INC 4875 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CUMMINS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CUMMINS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CUMMINS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CUMMINS historical prices to predict the future CUMMINS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.37100.81102.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.1282.56110.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.6898.1399.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.5796.66102.75
Details

CUMMINS INC 4875 Backtested Returns

At this point, CUMMINS is very steady. CUMMINS INC 4875 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.061, which signifies that the bond had a 0.061% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for CUMMINS INC 4875, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm CUMMINS's mean deviation of 1.35, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.039 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0882%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.35, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CUMMINS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CUMMINS is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

CUMMINS INC 4875 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CUMMINS time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CUMMINS INC 4875 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current CUMMINS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.02

CUMMINS INC 4875 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CUMMINS bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CUMMINS's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CUMMINS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CUMMINS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CUMMINS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CUMMINS bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CUMMINS bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CUMMINS bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CUMMINS Lagged Returns

When evaluating CUMMINS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CUMMINS bond have on its future price. CUMMINS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CUMMINS autocorrelation shows the relationship between CUMMINS bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CUMMINS INC 4875.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CUMMINS Bond

CUMMINS financial ratios help investors to determine whether CUMMINS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CUMMINS with respect to the benefits of owning CUMMINS security.