Deutsche Bank 45 Market Value

251525AP6   99.90  0.30  0.30%   
Deutsche's market value is the price at which a share of Deutsche trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deutsche Bank 45 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deutsche Bank 45 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deutsche over a given investment horizon.
Check out Deutsche Correlation, Deutsche Volatility and Deutsche Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deutsche.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deutsche 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche.
0.00
01/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 28 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deutsche on January 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Bank 45 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche over 300 days. Deutsche is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Charles Schwab, Knightscope, Liberty Media, Marvell Technology, and GM. More

Deutsche Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Bank 45 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deutsche Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche historical prices to predict the future Deutsche's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.7599.90100.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.6797.82109.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.3899.5299.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.4297.79103.15
Details

Deutsche Bank 45 Backtested Returns

Deutsche Bank 45 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which denotes the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Deutsche Bank 45 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Deutsche's Coefficient Of Variation of 31677.14, mean deviation of 0.3495, and Downside Deviation of 1.1 to check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.18, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Deutsche Bank 45 has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche time series from 31st of January 2024 to 29th of June 2024 and 29th of June 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Bank 45 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Deutsche price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.33

Deutsche Bank 45 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deutsche regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deutsche's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche bond have on its future price. Deutsche autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Bank 45.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Bond

Deutsche financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche security.