DUK 525 15 MAR 33 Market Value

26442UAQ7   98.70  3.16  3.10%   
26442UAQ7's market value is the price at which a share of 26442UAQ7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DUK 525 15 MAR 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DUK 525 15 MAR 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 26442UAQ7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 26442UAQ7 Correlation, 26442UAQ7 Volatility and 26442UAQ7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 26442UAQ7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 26442UAQ7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 26442UAQ7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 26442UAQ7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

26442UAQ7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 26442UAQ7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 26442UAQ7.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 26442UAQ7 on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DUK 525 15 MAR 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 26442UAQ7 over 720 days. 26442UAQ7 is related to or competes with Fevertree Drinks, Deluxe, Fluent, Integral, SNDL, and Willamette Valley. More

26442UAQ7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 26442UAQ7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DUK 525 15 MAR 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

26442UAQ7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 26442UAQ7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 26442UAQ7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 26442UAQ7 historical prices to predict the future 26442UAQ7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.0398.7099.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.7792.44108.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.1697.8398.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.62100.97103.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 26442UAQ7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 26442UAQ7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 26442UAQ7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DUK 525 15.

DUK 525 15 Backtested Returns

DUK 525 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0898, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0898% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. DUK 525 15 MAR 33 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 26442UAQ7's Mean Deviation of 0.3721, standard deviation of 0.5557, and Information Ratio of (0.37) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0576, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 26442UAQ7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 26442UAQ7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

DUK 525 15 MAR 33 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 26442UAQ7 time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DUK 525 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current 26442UAQ7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.75

DUK 525 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 26442UAQ7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 26442UAQ7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 26442UAQ7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 26442UAQ7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

26442UAQ7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 26442UAQ7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 26442UAQ7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 26442UAQ7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

26442UAQ7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 26442UAQ7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 26442UAQ7 bond have on its future price. 26442UAQ7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 26442UAQ7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 26442UAQ7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DUK 525 15 MAR 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 26442UAQ7 Bond

26442UAQ7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 26442UAQ7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 26442UAQ7 with respect to the benefits of owning 26442UAQ7 security.