ETR 475 15 SEP 52 Market Value

29364WBL1   90.17  2.27  2.58%   
29364WBL1's market value is the price at which a share of 29364WBL1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ETR 475 15 SEP 52 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ETR 475 15 SEP 52 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 29364WBL1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 29364WBL1 Correlation, 29364WBL1 Volatility and 29364WBL1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 29364WBL1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 29364WBL1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 29364WBL1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 29364WBL1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

29364WBL1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 29364WBL1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 29364WBL1.
0.00
05/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 29364WBL1 on May 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ETR 475 15 SEP 52 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 29364WBL1 over 180 days. 29364WBL1 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, 3M, Alcoa Corp, ATT, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

29364WBL1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 29364WBL1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ETR 475 15 SEP 52 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

29364WBL1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 29364WBL1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 29364WBL1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 29364WBL1 historical prices to predict the future 29364WBL1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.3390.1791.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.3278.1699.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.3389.1790.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.0388.2891.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 29364WBL1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 29364WBL1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 29364WBL1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ETR 475 15.

ETR 475 15 Backtested Returns

ETR 475 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0811, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0811% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. ETR 475 15 SEP 52 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 29364WBL1's Coefficient Of Variation of 16185.7, mean deviation of 0.7997, and Downside Deviation of 1.61 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0876, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 29364WBL1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 29364WBL1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

ETR 475 15 SEP 52 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 29364WBL1 time series from 30th of May 2024 to 28th of August 2024 and 28th of August 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ETR 475 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current 29364WBL1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.99

ETR 475 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 29364WBL1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 29364WBL1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 29364WBL1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 29364WBL1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

29364WBL1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 29364WBL1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 29364WBL1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 29364WBL1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

29364WBL1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 29364WBL1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 29364WBL1 bond have on its future price. 29364WBL1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 29364WBL1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 29364WBL1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ETR 475 15 SEP 52.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 29364WBL1 Bond

29364WBL1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 29364WBL1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 29364WBL1 with respect to the benefits of owning 29364WBL1 security.