FG 515 07 JUL 25 Market Value

30321L2E1   97.90  2.17  2.17%   
30321L2E1's market value is the price at which a share of 30321L2E1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of FG 515 07 JUL 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of FG 515 07 JUL 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 30321L2E1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 30321L2E1 Correlation, 30321L2E1 Volatility and 30321L2E1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 30321L2E1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 30321L2E1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 30321L2E1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 30321L2E1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

30321L2E1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 30321L2E1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 30321L2E1.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 30321L2E1 on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FG 515 07 JUL 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 30321L2E1 over 720 days. 30321L2E1 is related to or competes with Getty Images, Sphere Entertainment, Summit Hotel, Iridium Communications, Equinix, BCE, and Aldel Financial. More

30321L2E1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 30321L2E1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FG 515 07 JUL 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

30321L2E1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 30321L2E1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 30321L2E1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 30321L2E1 historical prices to predict the future 30321L2E1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.3397.9098.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.9888.55107.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.0896.6597.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.3299.49101.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 30321L2E1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 30321L2E1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 30321L2E1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FG 515 07.

FG 515 07 Backtested Returns

FG 515 07 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.15, which signifies that the bond had a -0.15% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 30321L2E1 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 30321L2E1's Information Ratio of (0.32), market risk adjusted performance of 0.8405, and Standard Deviation of 0.4572 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0249, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 30321L2E1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 30321L2E1 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

FG 515 07 JUL 25 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 30321L2E1 time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FG 515 07 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current 30321L2E1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test-0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

FG 515 07 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 30321L2E1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 30321L2E1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 30321L2E1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 30321L2E1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

30321L2E1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 30321L2E1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 30321L2E1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 30321L2E1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

30321L2E1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 30321L2E1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 30321L2E1 bond have on its future price. 30321L2E1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 30321L2E1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 30321L2E1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FG 515 07 JUL 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 30321L2E1 Bond

30321L2E1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 30321L2E1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 30321L2E1 with respect to the benefits of owning 30321L2E1 security.