US36168QAL86 Market Value

36168QAL8   90.49  4.26  4.50%   
36168QAL8's market value is the price at which a share of 36168QAL8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US36168QAL86 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US36168QAL86 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 36168QAL8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 36168QAL8 Correlation, 36168QAL8 Volatility and 36168QAL8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 36168QAL8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 36168QAL8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 36168QAL8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 36168QAL8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

36168QAL8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 36168QAL8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 36168QAL8.
0.00
03/13/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 36168QAL8 on March 13, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US36168QAL86 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 36168QAL8 over 720 days. 36168QAL8 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, IShares Global, GE Aerospace, Coca Cola, Bank of America, Procter Gamble, and Pfizer. More

36168QAL8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 36168QAL8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US36168QAL86 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

36168QAL8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 36168QAL8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 36168QAL8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 36168QAL8 historical prices to predict the future 36168QAL8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.6590.4991.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.5566.3999.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.4164.2465.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.4489.67130.90
Details

US36168QAL86 Backtested Returns

US36168QAL86 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 36168QAL8 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 36168QAL8's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,024), risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Variance of 0.0732 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0249, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 36168QAL8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 36168QAL8 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

US36168QAL86 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 36168QAL8 time series from 13th of March 2023 to 7th of March 2024 and 7th of March 2024 to 2nd of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US36168QAL86 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current 36168QAL8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.61
36168QAL8 Returns36168QAL8 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away36168QAL8 Returns36168QAL8 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

US36168QAL86 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 36168QAL8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 36168QAL8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 36168QAL8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 36168QAL8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025MarMay-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

36168QAL8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 36168QAL8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 36168QAL8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 36168QAL8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025MarMay888990919293949596
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

36168QAL8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 36168QAL8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 36168QAL8 bond have on its future price. 36168QAL8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 36168QAL8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 36168QAL8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US36168QAL86.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Jul2024Jul2025102030405060708090
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 36168QAL8 Bond

36168QAL8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 36168QAL8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 36168QAL8 with respect to the benefits of owning 36168QAL8 security.

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