HLNLN 4 24 MAR 52 Market Value

36264FAN1   76.89  1.79  2.28%   
HLNLN's market value is the price at which a share of HLNLN trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HLNLN 4 24 MAR 52 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HLNLN 4 24 MAR 52 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HLNLN over a given investment horizon.
Check out HLNLN Correlation, HLNLN Volatility and HLNLN Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HLNLN.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HLNLN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HLNLN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HLNLN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HLNLN 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HLNLN's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HLNLN.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HLNLN on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HLNLN 4 24 MAR 52 or generate 0.0% return on investment in HLNLN over 30 days. HLNLN is related to or competes with Univest Pennsylvania, Glacier Bancorp, BCB Bancorp, PennantPark Floating, Siriuspoint, JBG SMITH, and Smith Douglas. More

HLNLN Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HLNLN's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HLNLN 4 24 MAR 52 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HLNLN Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HLNLN's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HLNLN's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HLNLN historical prices to predict the future HLNLN's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.0676.8978.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.8570.6884.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.1978.0279.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.9880.6986.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HLNLN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HLNLN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HLNLN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HLNLN 4 24.

HLNLN 4 24 Backtested Returns

At this point, HLNLN is very steady. HLNLN 4 24 holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0174, which attests that the entity had a 0.0174% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for HLNLN 4 24, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out HLNLN's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.24 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0318%. The bond retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0425, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning HLNLN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, HLNLN is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

HLNLN 4 24 MAR 52 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HLNLN time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HLNLN 4 24 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current HLNLN price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.93

HLNLN 4 24 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HLNLN bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HLNLN's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HLNLN returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HLNLN has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HLNLN regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HLNLN bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HLNLN bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HLNLN bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HLNLN Lagged Returns

When evaluating HLNLN's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HLNLN bond have on its future price. HLNLN autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HLNLN autocorrelation shows the relationship between HLNLN bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HLNLN 4 24 MAR 52.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in HLNLN Bond

HLNLN financial ratios help investors to determine whether HLNLN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HLNLN with respect to the benefits of owning HLNLN security.