GM 6 09 JAN 28 Market Value

37045XEB8   101.60  1.62  1.57%   
37045XEB8's market value is the price at which a share of 37045XEB8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GM 6 09 JAN 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GM 6 09 JAN 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 37045XEB8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 37045XEB8 Correlation, 37045XEB8 Volatility and 37045XEB8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 37045XEB8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 37045XEB8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 37045XEB8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 37045XEB8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

37045XEB8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 37045XEB8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 37045XEB8.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 37045XEB8 on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GM 6 09 JAN 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 37045XEB8 over 720 days. 37045XEB8 is related to or competes with Radcom, Reservoir Media, Zedge, Fluent, National CineMedia, Entravision Communications, and Integral. More

37045XEB8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 37045XEB8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GM 6 09 JAN 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

37045XEB8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 37045XEB8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 37045XEB8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 37045XEB8 historical prices to predict the future 37045XEB8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.24101.60101.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.7392.09111.76
Details

37045XEB8 Backtested Returns

37045XEB8 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.1, which signifies that the bond had a -0.1% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 37045XEB8 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 37045XEB8's Information Ratio of (0.31), coefficient of variation of (1,402), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (12.75) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0037, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 37045XEB8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 37045XEB8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.33  

Poor reverse predictability

GM 6 09 JAN 28 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 37045XEB8 time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 37045XEB8 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current 37045XEB8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.93

37045XEB8 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 37045XEB8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 37045XEB8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 37045XEB8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 37045XEB8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

37045XEB8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 37045XEB8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 37045XEB8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 37045XEB8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

37045XEB8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 37045XEB8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 37045XEB8 bond have on its future price. 37045XEB8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 37045XEB8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 37045XEB8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GM 6 09 JAN 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 37045XEB8 Bond

37045XEB8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 37045XEB8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 37045XEB8 with respect to the benefits of owning 37045XEB8 security.