GS 53 Market Value

38148BAC2   98.37  1.28  1.28%   
38148BAC2's market value is the price at which a share of 38148BAC2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GS 53 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GS 53 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 38148BAC2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 38148BAC2 Correlation, 38148BAC2 Volatility and 38148BAC2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 38148BAC2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 38148BAC2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 38148BAC2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 38148BAC2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

38148BAC2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 38148BAC2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 38148BAC2.
0.00
05/11/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 22 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 38148BAC2 on May 11, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GS 53 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 38148BAC2 over 660 days. 38148BAC2 is related to or competes with Penn National, Avient Corp, Bilibili, Cementos Pacasmayo, Griffon, and Eldorado Gold. More

38148BAC2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 38148BAC2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GS 53 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

38148BAC2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 38148BAC2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 38148BAC2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 38148BAC2 historical prices to predict the future 38148BAC2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.6598.3799.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.3779.09108.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.3297.0397.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.0999.01102.93
Details

38148BAC2 Backtested Returns

38148BAC2 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.12, which signifies that the bond had a -0.12 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 38148BAC2 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 38148BAC2's insignificant Information Ratio, market risk adjusted performance of 0.122, and Coefficient Of Variation of (7,368) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 38148BAC2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 38148BAC2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

GS 53 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 38148BAC2 time series from 11th of May 2023 to 5th of April 2024 and 5th of April 2024 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 38148BAC2 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current 38148BAC2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.94
38148BAC2 Returns38148BAC2 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away38148BAC2 Returns38148BAC2 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

38148BAC2 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 38148BAC2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 38148BAC2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 38148BAC2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 38148BAC2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%10%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

38148BAC2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 38148BAC2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 38148BAC2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 38148BAC2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar9596979899100
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

38148BAC2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 38148BAC2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 38148BAC2 bond have on its future price. 38148BAC2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 38148BAC2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 38148BAC2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GS 53.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JulOct2024AprJulOct202592949698100102
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 38148BAC2 Bond

38148BAC2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 38148BAC2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 38148BAC2 with respect to the benefits of owning 38148BAC2 security.