GRAINGER W W Market Value

384802AD6   88.52  4.11  4.87%   
GRAINGER's market value is the price at which a share of GRAINGER trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GRAINGER W W investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GRAINGER W W and determine expected loss or profit from investing in GRAINGER over a given investment horizon.
Check out GRAINGER Correlation, GRAINGER Volatility and GRAINGER Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GRAINGER.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between GRAINGER's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GRAINGER is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GRAINGER's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GRAINGER 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GRAINGER's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GRAINGER.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in GRAINGER on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GRAINGER W W or generate 0.0% return on investment in GRAINGER over 360 days. GRAINGER is related to or competes with TFI International, United Airlines, GMéxico Transportes, Verra Mobility, Arrow Electronics, Meiwu Technology, and Afya. More

GRAINGER Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GRAINGER's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GRAINGER W W upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

GRAINGER Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GRAINGER's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GRAINGER's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GRAINGER historical prices to predict the future GRAINGER's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.2188.5289.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.0480.3597.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.4190.7192.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.3286.9790.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GRAINGER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GRAINGER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GRAINGER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GRAINGER W W.

GRAINGER W W Backtested Returns

At this point, GRAINGER is very steady. GRAINGER W W retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0028, which attests that the entity had a 0.0028% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for GRAINGER, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out GRAINGER's Semi Deviation of 1.81, market risk adjusted performance of 0.08, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3803.45 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0036%. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, GRAINGER's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GRAINGER is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

GRAINGER W W has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GRAINGER time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GRAINGER W W price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current GRAINGER price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.27

GRAINGER W W lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is GRAINGER bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GRAINGER's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GRAINGER returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GRAINGER has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

GRAINGER regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GRAINGER bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GRAINGER bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GRAINGER bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

GRAINGER Lagged Returns

When evaluating GRAINGER's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GRAINGER bond have on its future price. GRAINGER autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GRAINGER autocorrelation shows the relationship between GRAINGER bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GRAINGER W W.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GRAINGER Bond

GRAINGER financial ratios help investors to determine whether GRAINGER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GRAINGER with respect to the benefits of owning GRAINGER security.