HCP INC 34 Market Value

40414LAM1   97.98  1.61  1.62%   
40414LAM1's market value is the price at which a share of 40414LAM1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HCP INC 34 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HCP INC 34 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 40414LAM1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 40414LAM1 Correlation, 40414LAM1 Volatility and 40414LAM1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 40414LAM1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 40414LAM1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 40414LAM1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 40414LAM1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

40414LAM1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 40414LAM1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 40414LAM1.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 40414LAM1 on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HCP INC 34 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 40414LAM1 over 540 days. 40414LAM1 is related to or competes with BioNTech, Mativ Holdings, Flexible Solutions, Air Products, Neogen, Axalta Coating, and Sonida Senior. More

40414LAM1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 40414LAM1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HCP INC 34 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

40414LAM1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 40414LAM1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 40414LAM1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 40414LAM1 historical prices to predict the future 40414LAM1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.3597.9898.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.6782.30107.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 40414LAM1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 40414LAM1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 40414LAM1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HCP INC 34.

HCP INC 34 Backtested Returns

HCP INC 34 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0282, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0282% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. HCP INC 34 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 40414LAM1's Mean Deviation of 0.277, variance of 0.5053, and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,327) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 40414LAM1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 40414LAM1 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

HCP INC 34 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 40414LAM1 time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HCP INC 34 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current 40414LAM1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.39

HCP INC 34 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 40414LAM1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 40414LAM1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 40414LAM1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 40414LAM1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

40414LAM1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 40414LAM1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 40414LAM1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 40414LAM1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

40414LAM1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 40414LAM1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 40414LAM1 bond have on its future price. 40414LAM1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 40414LAM1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 40414LAM1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HCP INC 34.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 40414LAM1 Bond

40414LAM1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 40414LAM1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 40414LAM1 with respect to the benefits of owning 40414LAM1 security.