HSBC 6254 09 MAR 34 Market Value

404280DV8   103.56  2.92  2.74%   
404280DV8's market value is the price at which a share of 404280DV8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HSBC 6254 09 MAR 34 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HSBC 6254 09 MAR 34 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 404280DV8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 404280DV8 Correlation, 404280DV8 Volatility and 404280DV8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 404280DV8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 404280DV8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 404280DV8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 404280DV8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

404280DV8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 404280DV8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 404280DV8.
0.00
03/12/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
03/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 404280DV8 on March 12, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HSBC 6254 09 MAR 34 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 404280DV8 over 720 days. 404280DV8 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, IShares Global, Exxon, Johnson Johnson, 3M, Cisco Systems, and JPMorgan Chase. More

404280DV8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 404280DV8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HSBC 6254 09 MAR 34 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

404280DV8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 404280DV8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 404280DV8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 404280DV8 historical prices to predict the future 404280DV8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.01103.56104.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.48104.03104.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.33102.87103.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.02104.86106.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 404280DV8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 404280DV8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 404280DV8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HSBC 6254 09.

HSBC 6254 09 Backtested Returns

HSBC 6254 09 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.025, which signifies that the bond had a -0.025 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 404280DV8 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 404280DV8's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,595), market risk adjusted performance of (0.22), and Information Ratio of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 404280DV8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 404280DV8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.72  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

HSBC 6254 09 MAR 34 has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 404280DV8 time series from 12th of March 2023 to 6th of March 2024 and 6th of March 2024 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HSBC 6254 09 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current 404280DV8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.72
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.69
404280DV8 Returns404280DV8 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away404280DV8 Returns404280DV8 Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

HSBC 6254 09 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 404280DV8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 404280DV8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 404280DV8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 404280DV8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

404280DV8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 404280DV8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 404280DV8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 404280DV8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15MayJulSepNov2025Mar101102103104105106
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

404280DV8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 404280DV8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 404280DV8 bond have on its future price. 404280DV8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 404280DV8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 404280DV8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HSBC 6254 09 MAR 34.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15AprJulOct2024AprJulOct2025949698100102104106108110
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 404280DV8 Bond

404280DV8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 404280DV8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 404280DV8 with respect to the benefits of owning 404280DV8 security.

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