HPQ 55 15 JAN 33 Market Value

40434LAN5   96.00  6.57  6.41%   
40434LAN5's market value is the price at which a share of 40434LAN5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HPQ 55 15 JAN 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HPQ 55 15 JAN 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 40434LAN5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 40434LAN5 Correlation, 40434LAN5 Volatility and 40434LAN5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 40434LAN5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 40434LAN5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 40434LAN5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 40434LAN5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

40434LAN5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 40434LAN5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 40434LAN5.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 40434LAN5 on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HPQ 55 15 JAN 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 40434LAN5 over 30 days. 40434LAN5 is related to or competes with National CineMedia, Albertsons Companies, Evertz Technologies, Village Super, Payoneer Global, Western Digital, and Canlan Ice. More

40434LAN5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 40434LAN5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HPQ 55 15 JAN 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

40434LAN5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 40434LAN5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 40434LAN5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 40434LAN5 historical prices to predict the future 40434LAN5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.1696.0096.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.7887.62105.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.6397.4798.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.6099.74106.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 40434LAN5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 40434LAN5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 40434LAN5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HPQ 55 15.

HPQ 55 15 Backtested Returns

HPQ 55 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.16, which signifies that the bond had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. HPQ 55 15 JAN 33 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 40434LAN5's Mean Deviation of 0.8659, variance of 3.16, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,522) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 40434LAN5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 40434LAN5 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

HPQ 55 15 JAN 33 has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 40434LAN5 time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HPQ 55 15 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current 40434LAN5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.96

HPQ 55 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 40434LAN5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 40434LAN5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 40434LAN5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 40434LAN5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

40434LAN5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 40434LAN5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 40434LAN5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 40434LAN5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

40434LAN5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 40434LAN5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 40434LAN5 bond have on its future price. 40434LAN5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 40434LAN5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 40434LAN5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HPQ 55 15 JAN 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 40434LAN5 Bond

40434LAN5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 40434LAN5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 40434LAN5 with respect to the benefits of owning 40434LAN5 security.