HR 24 15 MAR 30 Market Value

42225UAL8   80.40  4.86  5.70%   
42225UAL8's market value is the price at which a share of 42225UAL8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HR 24 15 MAR 30 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HR 24 15 MAR 30 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 42225UAL8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 42225UAL8 Correlation, 42225UAL8 Volatility and 42225UAL8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 42225UAL8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 42225UAL8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 42225UAL8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 42225UAL8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

42225UAL8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 42225UAL8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 42225UAL8.
0.00
11/06/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 42225UAL8 on November 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HR 24 15 MAR 30 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 42225UAL8 over 390 days. 42225UAL8 is related to or competes with Microbot Medical, CAVA Group,, JBG SMITH, Biglari Holdings, Mativ Holdings, Cracker Barrel, and First Watch. More

42225UAL8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 42225UAL8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HR 24 15 MAR 30 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

42225UAL8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 42225UAL8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 42225UAL8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 42225UAL8 historical prices to predict the future 42225UAL8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.8080.4084.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.5368.1388.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.6179.2082.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.3884.3588.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 42225UAL8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 42225UAL8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 42225UAL8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 42225UAL8.

42225UAL8 Backtested Returns

42225UAL8 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0349, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0349% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 42225UAL8 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 42225UAL8's Information Ratio of (0.05), market risk adjusted performance of 0.4405, and Coefficient Of Variation of (30,792) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0445, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 42225UAL8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 42225UAL8 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

HR 24 15 MAR 30 has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 42225UAL8 time series from 6th of November 2023 to 19th of May 2024 and 19th of May 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 42225UAL8 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current 42225UAL8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.63

42225UAL8 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 42225UAL8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 42225UAL8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 42225UAL8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 42225UAL8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

42225UAL8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 42225UAL8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 42225UAL8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 42225UAL8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

42225UAL8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 42225UAL8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 42225UAL8 bond have on its future price. 42225UAL8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 42225UAL8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 42225UAL8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HR 24 15 MAR 30.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 42225UAL8 Bond

42225UAL8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 42225UAL8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 42225UAL8 with respect to the benefits of owning 42225UAL8 security.