HRL 305 03 JUN 51 Market Value
| 440452AJ9 | 74.76 7.42 11.02% |
| Symbol | 440452AJ9 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 440452AJ9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 440452AJ9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 440452AJ9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
440452AJ9 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 440452AJ9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 440452AJ9.
| 10/24/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 440452AJ9 on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HRL 305 03 JUN 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 440452AJ9 over 30 days. 440452AJ9 is related to or competes with Willamette Valley, Keurig Dr, National CineMedia, BOS Better, Compania Cervecerias, Boston Beer, and 51Talk Online. More
440452AJ9 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 440452AJ9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HRL 305 03 JUN 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0294 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.78) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.38 |
440452AJ9 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 440452AJ9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 440452AJ9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 440452AJ9 historical prices to predict the future 440452AJ9's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0555 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.198 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0368 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (8.98) |
HRL 305 03 Backtested Returns
At this point, 440452AJ9 is very steady. HRL 305 03 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0769, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0769% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for HRL 305 03 JUN 51, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 440452AJ9's Mean Deviation of 1.56, standard deviation of 3.28, and Semi Deviation of 2.32 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0218, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 440452AJ9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 440452AJ9 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.52 |
Modest predictability
HRL 305 03 JUN 51 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 440452AJ9 time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HRL 305 03 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current 440452AJ9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.52 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.83 |
HRL 305 03 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 440452AJ9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 440452AJ9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 440452AJ9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 440452AJ9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
440452AJ9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 440452AJ9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 440452AJ9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 440452AJ9 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
440452AJ9 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 440452AJ9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 440452AJ9 bond have on its future price. 440452AJ9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 440452AJ9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 440452AJ9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HRL 305 03 JUN 51.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 440452AJ9 Bond
440452AJ9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 440452AJ9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 440452AJ9 with respect to the benefits of owning 440452AJ9 security.