HUM 37 23 MAR 29 Market Value
| 444859BT8 | 92.22 2.81 2.96% |
| Symbol | 444859BT8 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 444859BT8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 444859BT8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 444859BT8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
444859BT8 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 444859BT8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 444859BT8.
| 09/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 444859BT8 on September 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HUM 37 23 MAR 29 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 444859BT8 over 60 days. 444859BT8 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, PayPal Holdings, IONQ, Nasdaq, Vertiv Holdings, and Microsoft. More
444859BT8 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 444859BT8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HUM 37 23 MAR 29 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.37) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.89 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.73) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4338 |
444859BT8 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 444859BT8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 444859BT8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 444859BT8 historical prices to predict the future 444859BT8's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5025 |
HUM 37 23 Backtested Returns
HUM 37 23 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. HUM 37 23 MAR 29 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 444859BT8's Mean Deviation of 0.315, information ratio of (0.37), and Coefficient Of Variation of (754.68) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 444859BT8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 444859BT8 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.11 |
Insignificant predictability
HUM 37 23 MAR 29 has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 444859BT8 time series from 28th of September 2024 to 28th of October 2024 and 28th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HUM 37 23 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current 444859BT8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
HUM 37 23 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 444859BT8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 444859BT8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 444859BT8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 444859BT8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
444859BT8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 444859BT8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 444859BT8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 444859BT8 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
444859BT8 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 444859BT8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 444859BT8 bond have on its future price. 444859BT8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 444859BT8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 444859BT8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HUM 37 23 MAR 29.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 444859BT8 Bond
444859BT8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 444859BT8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 444859BT8 with respect to the benefits of owning 444859BT8 security.